Barack Obama Will Become America's First African American President

Discussion in 'In the News' started by Kid Rasta, Oct 3, 2008.

  1. LA

    LA Well-Known Member

    Are you serious?

    If there's some funny recount again this election that makes McCain win by a hair, I'm gonna go nuts. :smt071
     
  2. dj4monie

    dj4monie New Member

    Who forgot... ??

    Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) Florida was on Meadow's show tonight, she's on them.

    They are onto the shady business... Early ballots are being casted all over the country...

    150,000 new reg'ed Dems in Florida alone. I told you this months ago, turnout will be HIGH and that's BAD news for the Republicans. The Economy tanking its bad news for the Party In Power. That has been the case for the last 100 years.

    Summary of the 13 Keys as of September 2007:

    The Keys are stated to favor the reelection of the incumbent party. When five or fewer are false, the incumbent party wins. When six or more are false, the challenging party wins.

    KEY 1 (Party Mandate): After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections. (FALSE)

    KEY 2 (Contest): There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination. (FALSE)

    KEY 3 (Incumbency): The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president. (FALSE)

    KEY 4 (Third party): There is no significant third-party or independent campaign. (UNCERTAIN)

    KEY 5 (Short-term economy): The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. (CERTAIN)

    KEY 6 (Long-term economy): Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. (UNCERTAIN)

    KEY 7 (Policy change): The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. (FALSE)

    KEY 8 (Social unrest): There is no sustained social unrest during the term. (TRUE)

    KEY 9 (Scandal): The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. (TRUE)

    KEY 10 (Foreign/military failure): The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. (FALSE)

    KEY 11 (Foreign/military success): The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. (FALSE)

    KEY 12 (Incumbent charisma): The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. (FALSE)

    KEY 13 (Challenger charisma): The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. (TRUE)

    Results: TRUE: 4 KEYS; FALSE: 7 KEYS; UNCERTAIN: 2 KEYS
    Prediction: INCUMBENT REPUBLICANS LOSE POPULAR VOTE

    The guy that wrote the book is on Mark Thompson's show on a regular basis and he'll be back on just before Nov 4th. The formula has been correct over 95% of the time.

    The media as a whole is not counting the Youth vote because in the past they haven't showed up. But Obama has heavily involved the Youth and you'll get massive turnout.

    High Turnout is always BAD for Republicans and it doesn't matter what kind of tricks they pull because they have always tried to suppress the "Black Vote"
     

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