TRUMP Thread

J.Ann Seltzer is the Ultimate Iowa Election Authority!! She has the highest rated poll in the entire Midwest. Mrs. Seltzer's methods are tried and tested as she runs both raw data & weighted data to compensate for outlier elements with redundancies. She was on a YouTube interview as well as CNN this weekend and she has the utmost confidence that the final Des Moines Register poll has accurately captured the Harris Surge everyone was searching for Halloween night. Time will tell on Tuesday if she is right or wrong.

 

Pull out those Trump administration IRS tax return from 2018 or 2019. Now pull out your IRS tax returns from this year and last. See the difference?!?

Union members and TEAMSTERS . . . pull out those 401(k) statements from five years ago and six years ago. Now compare them to the 401(k) statements from this year and last year. See the difference!?!

This Trump nostalgia is NAUSEATING to the working class that remember being paid peanuts in 2018 and 2019 while Trump gave HUGE corporate tax cuts to the top 10% so they could pocket the profits and buy more luxury cars and houses.

People paid a bridge toll five (5) days a week to come to South Jersey from Delaware and Pennsylvania just to make $12/hour in Fall 2019 because they apparently couldn't get it locally back home. That was the Trump economy people!!! Those same jobs in Swedesboro, NJ that started at $12/hr during the Trump administration . . . those very same jobs which kept working people JUST OVER BROKE (JOB) are just as hot . . . just as heavy . . . just as hard today as they were then are now in the Biden administration but start at $20/hr!!

Flip Trump nostalgia!! Lock his ass up!!!! Vote straight BLUE tomorrow!!!

If Trump can beat these 167 mother-father felony indictments then by God's grace let him run for reelection in 2028 I say .

As Black men we know we couldn't run for MAYOR if we had an EIGHTH of the indictments that Donald John Trump has across SIX grand juries composed of Republicans, Independents and Democrat American citizens. I want JUSTICE . . . not "Just Us". Our ancestors were beaten . . .set ablaze, lynched, castrated, tied between two stallions and pulled apart in front of their wives and children because they wanted the freedom to vote!!

Donald John Trump and Rudolph William Louis Giuliani tried to steal that right from us in Georgia, Michigan, Arizona and Pennsylvania according to the sworn testimony of Republican state officials at the Bipartisan comprehensive January 6 Congressional Committee. He tried to STRONGARM these Republicans remember and he was caught on tape!!

 

Spit that truth Black Man.

 

I saw her interview. I'm aware of her. A separate poll by Emerson has him leading.

Look, earlier this year, polls from Seltzer's company had Trump leading Biden by 18 percentage points.
So you mean to say that there has been a 22% poimt shift from Republican to Democrat -- in a solid Red State -- ever since the Democrats rang Kamala's bell a couple of months ago?
People in Iowa are calling absolute bullshit on this.

Even Harris isn't giving Iowa one second of her time as a result, because she knows it's a waste of time.

On top of that...

“Iowa Republicans are leading in early voting for the first time in decades, and have increased our voter registration advantage by 130,000+”
- Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds

 

Iowa Republicans are voting in record-breaking numbers true just as they are in Georgia, Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Here's the thing . . . you don't know if they are MAGA maniacs. . . or Blue Blood Ronald Reagan - George Bush legacy Republicans!! They could REALLY HATE Donald John Trump and how he has carried on this fall.

In Iowa for example the six week abortion ban went into effect this Summer and Selzer says that she has verified a sharp female explosion in the IA voting dynamics (64% to 33%). The preceding Des Moines Register poll only had Trump beating Harris by five points I think and now he is down three points . . . sounds like a plausible trajectory to me. No worries we will see what's what this week though so . . . time will tell.

 

David Plouffe said yesterday that he has learned over the years of running political campaigns that it is unwise to chase the 300th electoral vote. I would send Barack Obama there today because why not?!? He could hit Southern WI going south of Madison and then hop over to Northern Iowa University in Cedar Falls and do a rally there. Why not put some House money on the gamble at this late date?!? That's just me though because they had over a billion dollars to burn so why not leave everything on the field as the saying goes.

 

My brother...testify!

 

I got one more thang to say lol. Donald John Trump was gifted $40 million dollars from his father Frank Trump after he graduated from the University of Pennsylvania . . .

He subsequently opened Trump Casinos in Atlantic City - South Jersey were I was raised in the 80's but ran them so poorly that he had to file for NJ Bankruptcy protection SEVERAL times . . .

HOW THE HELL DO YOU DO THAT!?!?!

So you are running a VICE which preys upon the weakness and addictions of the common people but you are so incompetent as a businessman that you become financially insolvent?!?!!?

That would be like getting $40 million from your father after graduating from an Ivy League University and opening a chain of liquor stores in Trenton NJ - Newark, NJ - Camden, NJ and yes even Atlantic City, NJ but you are such a sorry fraud of a business guru that you have to file for NJ Bankruptcy protection SEVERAL times because all the junkies and alcoholics of Newark, NJ -Camden, NJ - Trenton, NJ and Atlantic City NJ are too difficult for you to deal with at a profit lol

That's who Donald John Trump actually is . . . a business failure and fraud if you really think about it. I made my very first beer delivery to Crown Liquor on Pacific Ave in Atlantic City, NJ on a Tuesday in June 2020. The foot traffic I witnessed there on a normal weekday was UNBELIEVABLE!! You would have thought it was the Friday of Memorial Day weekend or Fourth of July Friday!!!

How do you lose money running a VICE like liquor or gambling in Atlantic City, NJ?!?! Well we know Donald Trump managed to file for NJ Bankruptcy protection SEVERAL times in the 1980's so . . .

 

I watched Black Conservative Perspective's video on the Iowa Seltzer poll last night & I didn't realize the MSM & Dems were using that Seltzer Poll as a desperate light of Hope. The poll is so ridiculous that it was laughed off. Seeing how ridiculously pro-Trump the Iowa Caucus electorate was back in January (+ Trump's '16 & '20 Iowa wins), I expect Trump to win Iowa comfortably.

The overwhelming majority of Bush & Reagan Republicans are still gonna vote for Trump with Harris & Walz being terrible candidates.

As for the Abortion part, it's pretty obvious Seltzer polled too many abortion-obssesed AWFLs. If Abortion was really a strong enough issue to flip Iowa to Kamala, you'd see the same thing thing in the other red states that passed similar Heartbeat bills (GA, TX, FL, OH, LA, & etc).

 

Of all those aforementioned states (GA, TX, FL, OH & LA) not one of them was ever Iowa in the winter of 2016. You don't remember when Iowa was #NeverTrump?!?!? You don't remember when Iowa's sister state ~ Wisconsin was #NeverTrump!?!?!
I do remember and my guy on MSNBC Alan Belcher just opined this afternoon that the Des Moines Register poll has its greatest impact in that it captures how poorly Trump reelection campaign closing messaging has been last month with his performance at that Univision Town Hall in Miami, FL and his MSG New York fiasco . . . in a market where the Harris election campaign has not spent a buck of its billion dollars of contributions.

The elder Iowan women remember what life was like before Roe vs Wade and according to J. Ann Selzer they are making their voices heard . . . they remember the back ally abortions and the Ladies rooms where bodies were found with coat hangers back in the 60's

J. Ann Selzer is known as the "Outlier Queen" for a reason and I believe she has effectively captured the #HarrisSurge that didn't manifest on Halloween night. You would be hard pressed @ColiBreh1 to find a more well regarded election pollster because she has such an established track record of excellence dating back to Bush Gore 2000!!

 

if I'm not mistaken, looks like it's Bliss vs. the rest of us

may whoever is right win

 

Barbara Bush is actively campaigning for Kamala Harris lol.

John McCain's son is also actively campaigning for Kamala Harris. The Old Guard Grand Ole' Party cannot stand Donald John Trump and what he has done to their legacy as Republicans. The Cheney family cannot stand Trump either and are also actively campaigning for Kamala Harris.

Those Jimmy Carter Republicans in Georgia . . . they have never witnessed anything like the January 6 fiasco or the COVID-19 fiasco either in their entire 70 something lives!!! They aren't going to reward Donald John Trump who tried to steal the GA election in December 2020 and got caught on tape doing it.

The Brian Kemp Republicans cannot really stand him either . . . he is an indicted felon who has been subjected to a 2.5 year comprehensive felony investigation with two grand juries composed of Republicans and Independents. Four of the Trump reelection campaign operatives have turned STATE on him and pled guilty with cooperation deals. Three of them are lawyers who understand the laws they violated and the mandatory minimum prison sentences they are facing via the Georgia RICO statute.

MAGA = I'm so guilty . . . My Attorneys Got Attorneys!!

 

Living in Georgia, I can pretty much say that this is true. Our former Lt. Governor Geoff Duncan is an elected Republican who is actively campaigning for Kamala Harris. The GOP would like nothing more than for Trump go away forever and never be heard from again, but Trump's ego would never, ever let that happen.

 

Well Also the Governors of Georgia and Virginia have the best chance to take over the party if Trump loses here.
Governor of Georgia especially has clashed with Trump.
He wins here and that puts JD Vance in pole position assuming Trump doesn't go Full Dictator.

Funny thing is I think that Comedian might have Fucked Trump. A lot of Puerto Ricans in Pennsylvania.
Trump finally pissed off a group as badly as Kamala has pissed off Arabs.

 

Its 2am, and President Trump is STILL rallying live in Michigan.. Joe Rogan just gave his full endorsement.

Kamala is snoring in bed.

 

There were quute a few who were conservative, Republican or Independents on here. But the vitriol and harrasement from dyed-in-the-wool left-leaning Democrats here was too much for them. Ganged-up on, insulted, called Hitlers, Eva Brauns, racists, coons, uncle Tom's, death threats - insults that continue to this day. There was zero moderation from the Mods, who often jumped in with the worst insults themselves. It was pretty outrageous.

So l.didn't blame them for leaving. The Dems couldn't run me off because l'm too strong for that. There are still a couple of Independent/conservative/centrists/Republicans here who agree with me.

The beautiful thing is, the Black men in particular who left the Dems, beam 10 feet higher, than those who stayed lock-in-step Dems after the Dems got exposed in 2016. The exceptions who remain respectful in discourse are @orejon4 , never a foul word even if he felt it, and there are a couple others who remained on topic and presented class. If l find their names l will.post.

 

Its interesting lookimg through old posts to find who l was looking for...
While not @Blacktiger2005, some of his posts were prophetic. Really thought-provoking.

Still looking, lol...

 

Iowans can vote their State electors out. But why Trump? He has never advocated for 6 weeks only. Trump for the Presidency, whomever for Iowa, the State. Best of both worlds.

 

Google "Project 2025" which was written by former Trump administration officials like Dr. Ben Carson and current Vice-President running mate JD Vance wrote the FOREWORD of. People like Sean Hannity like to say that Donald John Trump has disavowed it and has stayed he would never sign a national abortion ban. Donald John Trump is an indicted felon across SEVERAL jurisdictions (Florida - Washington DC - Georgia - New York).

I learned in law school in NYC that the character and credibility of such felons was always at issue because words are wind. Was he not indicted by SIX grand juries composed of Republicans, Democrats and Independents?!? Why wouldn't we take his words as anything else but WIND!?!

Do you want to live in the United States of America or the United States of Oklahoma with its six week abortion ban and no exceptions?!? If those MAGA maniacs who wrote that 922 manifesto under Stephen Miller and JD Vance get their chance in 2026 . . . you really believe Donald John Trump wouldn't sign it into national law???

Why shouldn't women in Mississippi enjoy the same emergency healthcare options as women in Maryland?!? Why should poor women in Mississippi have to travel all the way to Kansas!?! Did you know Mississippi is over 37% BLACK but has only one black United States Congressman?!? So much for state election protecting the state residents huh??

 

The late Quincy Jones about Donald Trump :

“I used to hang out with him. He’s a crazy motherf***er. Limited mentally – a megalomaniac, narcissistic. I can’t stand him.”
“A symphony conductor knows more about how to lead than most businesspeople – more than Trump does. He doesn’t know s***. Someone who knows about real leadership wouldn’t have as many people against him as he does. He’s a f***ing idiot.